In the era of change, uncertainty and instability, continuous improvement of Iran’ s defense power is necessary and needs continuous attempt for future architecture. Although this attempt is full of risks, but the acceptance of this risk is better than only seeing the future changes. ICT megatrends are a most important effective area on defense industry future. On the other hand, after announcing the macro policies of defensive and safety policies. Analyzing and formulating the future scenarios is attainable. This research is to identifying the ICT megatrends that are important for defense industry foresight to achieving Islamic-Persian model of development. This research uses a mixed method. Result showed that for defense industry foresight, ICT megatrends included information security management, social networks, communication infrastructures, innovation networks on IT context, artificial intelligence, internet of things and data centers and data bases should be considered.

In the era of change, uncertainty and instability, continuous improvement of Iran’ s defense power is necessary and needs continuous attempt for future architecture. Although this attempt is full of risks, but the acceptance of this risk is better than only seeing the future changes. ICT megatrends are a most important effective area on defense industry future. On the other hand, after announcing the macro policies of defensive and safety policies. Analyzing and formulating the future scenarios is attainable. This research is to identifying the ICT megatrends that are important for defense industry foresight to achieving Islamic-Persian model of development. This research uses a mixed method. Result showed that for defense industry foresight, ICT megatrends included information security management, social networks, communication infrastructures, innovation networks on IT context, artificial intelligence, internet of things and data centers and data bases should be considered.

The present article aims to provide a perspective of future development in the Middle East based on current trends in the region. According to Trend Analysis Method in future studies, providing a prospect for a country, a region or the whole world depends on Identification and analysis of the megatrends at every level. The megatrends consist of structural transformations that have huge consequences. Based on this approach, the this paper identifies five megatrends in the Middle East since 2003: 1. Intensification of regional conflICTs, 2. The Crises of nation-state structure and the formation of fragile States and failed states, 3. Exacerbation of environmental crises, 4. The decline of the Middle East’, s position in terms of global energy demand, 5. Drainage of human and material capital and the crisis of accumulation. The present paper is not only going to describe each trend, but it will also demonstrate that these critical trends are intertwined and mutually intensify each other. Consequently, they will be worsened in the upcoming years. The paper concludes that according to these megatrends, it is expected that the development prospect for most countries of the region will be dark.

Recent developments in the information and communication technology (ICT) have had remarkable impacts on all economic activities worldwide. Although the direct impact of ICT investment on productivity has been shown in many studies, little is known about the spillover effects of ICT, specially at the international level. In this paper, we study the ICT spill over effects on the labor productivity applying an augmented neo-classical growth model. Our data consists of a panel of 69 countries for the period 1993-2003. We use ICT investments in other countries weighted by imports as a proxy for the spill over variable. The results show that both ICT and its spillover have positive impacts on the productivity worldwide, but the effects are stronger in developed countries.